So Cal Multifamily Sales Pulse - March 31, 2024 - April 6, 2024

Disclaimer: All information contained herein is obtained from sources believed reliable. We have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. Any projections, opinions, assumptions or estimates used are for example only. We make no claim(s) as to the accuracy or reliability of the information presented. If you wish for us to analyze your specific property or situation please feel free to call or email us anytime.


Here's What's Happening In The Market, Here’s What This Means For You

Fiscal Collapse Accelerates
It’s official: the Department of Treasury is now issuing debt at pandemic levels. It’s worth noting the pandemic record was double the previous record, which had stood for 231 years.

Elevated Interest Rates Pose Long-Term Risk to Apartments
Landlords are facing many challenges that include variable rates, financing and maturing debt.

Latest Inflation Numbers Suggest No May Rate Cut
Some in the Federal Reserve are arguing for an extended wait on reducing interest rates.

US Banks Face Loss Risk From Multi-Family Property Loan Exposure
U.S. banks with significant lending exposure to some multi-family properties and particularly rent-controlled housing are vulnerable to posting losses this year on rising costs facing landlords.

Plunge In U.S. Office Values Could Match Or Exceed 2008 Real Estate Fallout
The slide in office values will “lead to permanent property valuation impairments and higher CMBS loan losses relative to expectations at issuance.

Fed Must Get ‘More Aggressive’ With Rate Cuts Due To Weakening Jobs Market
The Federal Reserve may have new incentives in the second quarter to cut rates deeper this year.

California Has the Highest Unemployment Rate in the Continental US
A big slowdown in job growth raises the question of what might start happening in other states.

Loan Modifications More Than Doubled Last Year
That leaves of question of whether the approach can be ultimately successful.

GSEs Regain Their Dominance In Apartment Lending
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac claimed 58% market share in 2023 after their share fell 39% in 2022.

CRE Story Line Moves Beyond Inflation, Rate Hikes, Imminent Recession
Macroeconomic indicators bring optimism to multifamily, industrial, retail.

Just How Big is the Wall of Maturities?
But trying to tease out exactly what is due when, and to whom, is confusing.

US Residents Now Need to Make Six Figures to Buy a Home
Home prices outpacing wage growth, rising interest rates, and a supply shortage create challenges.

Debt Markets Get Some Much-Needed Momentum
Marginally better debt conditions and has helped grease-the-wheels for activity.

Office Availability In Greater LA Market Hits Record 28% 
Savills predicts rents to drop this year in “long-awaited reset in office building valuations”

Investors Watch, Wait For Signs Of Distress
As lenders work with borrowers and bring back “extend-and-pretend” strategies, apartment properties with problem loans aren’t hitting the market.

L.A. Apartment Rents Hit Record Highs in Q1, But Sales Have Stalled
The number of units sold in investment sales in the first quarter dropped by 59% compared to 2023.

Full Employment, Low Inflation And A Virtuous Cycle In The American Economy
Something has changed. It now seems possible to have full employment between 3.5% and 4% and inflation around 2.5% to 3%.

Markets Back to Seeing Fewer Rate Cuts Than the Federal Reserve
After spending much of this year making bets that were much more dovish than those of Fed officials, investors have now flipped in the opposite direction.

Interest Rate Drops Will Not Solve CRE Problems
Slight rate drops are coming. But that may not necessarily lower mortgage rates.

CMBS Delinquencies Post Slight Improvement, Led by Retail
The Trepp CMBS Delinquency rate dropped slightly in March 2024 for an overall delinquency rate of 4.67%, a decline of four basis points from February. 

Apartment Expenses Grow as Insurance Premiums Spike
YoY profitability for January 2024 shows gross income rose more than expenses – but that could be short lived.

Powell Still Expects Fed To Lower Rates This Year As Inflation Follows A 'Bumpy' Path Down To 2%
Given the strength of the economy and progress on inflation so far, we have time to let the incoming data guide our decisions on policy.

Home Property Taxes Post Alarming Rise
A double whammy of declining home values and rising taxes propelled the increase in effective tax rates.

Markets Wonder If There Will Be Only Two Rate Cuts This Year
Ultimately, the numbers will have the last say. Right now, it’s looking dubious for three cuts.

High Apartment Supply Still Muting Performance Fundamentals
Despite apartment demand recovering to stand above normal levels in 1st quarter 2024, even heavier supply continued to weigh down rent and occupancy figures.

California’s Housing Slump Spells Trouble As The State Is Set To Get Even More Pricey
With fewer homes being built, experts warn that the already sky-high housing prices could skyrocket further due to limited supply, exacerbating the state’s affordability crisis.

Multifamily Becoming Trouble Spot For Banks
The number of apartment loans at least 30 days past due or in non-accrual has jumped 81%.

 


If you're looking for currently available multifamily properties visit:
https://www.mikelembeck.com/search-the-mls
for access to all available multifamily listings throughout Southern California.

Orange County

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Orange County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.44%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.74
6
Closed Sales Last Week
42
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$2,533,167
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
1
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
3
Financed Transactions Last Week
3
All Cash Transactions Last Week
5
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
1
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

18
New Listings Last Week
6
Months of Inventory
212
Total Number of Active Listings
$723,573,874
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
2
Active Under Contract Last Week
5
Pending Listings Last Week
10
Expired Listings Last Week

Long Beach

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Long Beach Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.63%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.13
5
Closed Sales Last Week
72
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,522,000
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
2
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
4
Financed Transactions Last Week
1
All Cash Transactions Last Week
4
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
1
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

15
New Listings Last Week
8
Months of Inventory
127
Total Number of Active Listings
$408,835,776
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
5
Active Under Contract Last Week
3
Pending Listings Last Week
5
Expired Listings Last Week

Los Angeles County

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Los Angeles County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.63%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.13
59
Closed Sales Last Week
40
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,695,113
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
33
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
43
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
16
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

158
New Listings Last Week
25
Months of Inventory
1,895
Total Number of Active Listings
$13,450,603,477
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
35
Active Under Contract Last Week
33
Pending Listings Last Week
76
Expired Listings Last Week

San Diego County

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San Diego County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.67%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.34
6
Closed Sales Last Week
23
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,677,417
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
4
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
5
Financed Transactions Last Week
1
All Cash Transactions Last Week
4
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
2
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

18
New Listings Last Week
7
Months of Inventory
212
Total Number of Active Listings
$115,371,197
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
0
Active Under Contract Last Week
13
Pending Listings Last Week
20
Expired Listings Last Week

Riverside County

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Riverside County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 5.6%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 12.09
6
Closed Sales Last Week
53
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$747,823
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
3
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
3
Financed Transactions Last Week
3
All Cash Transactions Last Week
5
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
1
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

5
New Listings Last Week
17
Months of Inventory
85
Total Number of Active Listings
$376,232,645
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
2
Active Under Contract Last Week
2
Pending Listings Last Week
6
Expired Listings Last Week

San Bernardino County

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San Bernardino County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 6.39%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 9.63
7
Closed Sales Last Week
58
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$703,000
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
4
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
5
Financed Transactions Last Week
2
All Cash Transactions Last Week
7
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
0
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

8
New Listings Last Week
36
Months of Inventory
142
Total Number of Active Listings
$293,201,649
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
4
Active Under Contract Last Week
7
Pending Listings Last Week
11
Expired Listings Last Week

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